The Liberal Party of Canada seems to be losing their grip on future government as current polling indicates that its support is waning. One poll from Nanos Research gives the Conservatives an 8-point lead over the Liberals (36 to 28). The Conservatives lead by 4 points, according to Abacus Data (35 to 31). According to Mainstreet Research, the Conservatives are ahead by 5 points (36 to 31). The Conservatives had a 3-point advantage in a Leger poll (33 to 30).
The polls for the past month have consistently shown that the Conservatives are leading the electorate, as polls show. Unfortunately for the Liberals, the Conservatives can win a minority government if an election is held. The Conservatives may win most of the electorate if the metropolitan vote is efficient enough.
However, even though the Conservatives are leading. Polling from Nanos Research regarding preferred Prime Minister consistently shows the Liberal leader, Justin Trudeau, over the Conservative Leader, Pierre Poillievre. Meaning that even though the Liberals are losing the electoral battle, polls indicate that the Liberal leader is the preferred leader of the country. Although, this may quickly change as the Conservative leader is not as publicly recognized as compared to the current Prime Minister of the country. Moreover, polls show that the Conservative leader is deeply unpopular in Canada's second-largest province Quebec. The French-speaking province indicates that 47% of its populace has "very unfavourable" views of the leader, making Poilievre the most unpopular conservative leader since the 21st century.
In addition, current polling from Nanos and Abacus also indicates that the top 5 issues for Canadians include Healthcare, Cost of Living, Jobs/Economy, Environment, and Housing Affordability. All these issues are at the forefront of Canadians, who feel that the Liberals have done a lacklustre job.
Healthcare is currently in a crisis in Canada, with historically long-wait times, a shortage of nurses and healthcare workers, and a need for more funding for the healthcare system. With current news that Trudeau is working towards a funding deal with the provinces, the country's healthcare system will be in shambles once such a deal is made.
The global economy has been in a downturn for the past two years, and Canada is no exception to this rule. The cost of living has only been increasing for the past year, with food prices increasing twice as fast last month. And as the environment deteriorates due to climate change and human-induced activities, Canadians feel their government needs to do more to combat the issue. Recent climate catastrophes such as hurricane Fiona and extreme cold and hot weather patterns in Western Canada have naturally affected Canadians' everyday lives.
Regarding housing, the average home price in Canada is over $600,000, with housing in metropolitan areas such as Toronto and Vancouver nearing $1 million. As a result, housing for youth and low-income people is increasingly becoming more complex as home prices and policy interest rates increase simultaneously.
These are real issues that Canadians from all demographics are facing. If the Liberals become complacent in not addressing these issues adequately, they shouldn't be surprised if they're voted out of power in a subsequent election.
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