When it comes to the top 5 leagues in Europe, few clubs are as well run as Bayern Munich. It is hard to argue or fault any sporting decisions they make, as they always look at the long-term gain rather than short-term success. From their disciplined approach to the transfer market, their policy of never going above a salary cap, and their structured approach to sporting projects as a club. That is why it came as a shock to see them sack Julian Nagelsmann.
No one could have guessed that Nagelsmann's position was under threat. Everyone, including Bayern fans, was most shocked. Just weeks ago, Bayern defeated a star-studded PSG in both legs of the champions league to progress to the quarter-finals with a fantastic record of 8 wins out of 8. Admittedly they have been inconsistent in their domestic League post world cup. But they still sit in second place, trailing Dortmund with 1 point with a monster goal difference of +45. Their DFB POKAL is intact, which makes them active in all competitions this season. Out of the 84 games Nagelsmann managed as Bayern coach, he won 60, drew 24 and lost 10. Giving him a 71.4 win percentage makes Bayern executives' reason for sacking Nagelsmann less reasonable.
Sacking Nagelsmann for Tuchel, a fantastic tactician who has managed big clubs and names, might be beneficial, but my guess is it will be short-lived. It might favour their current champions league campaign, as every new manager bounce does, but for the long term, not so much. We know Tuchel for his fantastic brand of football and for getting the most out of his players, which is a major reason for Bayern hiring him. However, we also know Tuchel for expressing his displeasure when things do not go his way, especially with transfers. His time at Dortmund, PSG and Chelsea came to an end, not because of the team's performance, but because he and the board were on different pages regarding transfers and where the club should be. This is a trait Bayern's board of directors is surely going to experience first-hand because of their strict approach to the transfer market.
Sacking Nagelsmann for Tuchel might seem like a proactive move from Bayern, but in reality, it is trading stability for uncertainty. There is no guarantee that Tuchel will deliver the champions league with teams like Real Madrid and their next opponent, Man City, still in the competition.
Maybe the decision to part with Nagelsmann is not only from a sporting perspective, maybe his inexperience and young age (35) played a part in his dismissal. Judging by data and previous managerial positions held by Nagelsmann and Tuchel, Bayern Munich has made a decision based on short-term success rather than long-term success, which the whole football world knows them for.
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