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Donald Trump Deemed Ineligible for Re-Election by Various States; What Could This Mean in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election

Photo Creds: Scott Olson; Getty Images



Donald Trump, the 45th U.S. President, who was running for re-election on the 2024 Presidential Ballot, has been removed from the upcoming ballot in Colorado and possibly 16 other states, after violating the 14th Amendment on January 6, 2021, at the United States Capitol. 


Mr. Trump is currently involved in various lawsuits, including four in Michigan, New Jersey, Oregon and Wisconsin, all of which are ongoing. Lawsuits in Alaska, Arizona, Nevada, New York, New Mexico, South Carolina, Texas, Vermont, Virginia, West Virginia and Wyoming, have all been filed in federal district courts. Trump’s campaign announced that they will appeal the Colorado ruling. However, the Colorado Supreme Court stated that it would put its decision on hold until January 4th, hoping by then, it’ll receive guidance from the United States Supreme Court. 


The Colorado Supreme Court’s hold could possibly be lifted, pending them hearing the appeal, which would place Trump back on the state’s ballot for the Republican primary ballot. This is contingent on the United States’ top court making a decision. This could also cause a freeze to other lawsuits, however. 


“In the event of the Supreme Court taking the case, it will essentially stay the proceedings in all of the other states”, said retired appeals court judge and leading supporter of bringing a 14th Amendment challenge, J. Michael Luttig. (nytimes.com)


While current U.S. President Joe Biden will likely be the nominee for the Democratic Party in 2024, Donald Trump being deemed ineligible will shake up the Republican Party in various ways. Florida Governor Ron DeSantis could be the new front-runner for President, as he upholds ultra-conservative values and is much less controversial than Trump has been. DeSantis has to appeal to Trump voters as a candidate who can get the job done and stay out of controversy to uphold his promises and will not alienate his supporters and those in Congress he has to work with, as a good portion of the house is Conservative.


On Friday, the Supreme Court stated that it would not expedite consideration of Donald Trump’s claim that he cannot be prosecuted for the actions he took as president on January 6, 2021. This is important because this determines whether he can be put on trial for attempting to overturn the 2020 Presidential Election results, which resulted in him losing the house to Joe Biden. No explanation was given for turning down special counsel Jack Smith’s request for an expedited review, which is necessary for Trump’s election-obstruction trial on track for early March. This is a good thing for Trump, in the sense of his campaign going, while the trial is delayed, to continue to promote and rally for re-election. The former President has lead the polls for several months now, so as it stands, re-election is still a strong possibility.


Trump’s goal is to obtain presidential immunity, which is more than likely going back to the Supreme Court. However, this will not happen before a federal appeals court in Washington gets a chance to review a district judge’s ruling from earlier that month which rejected the President’s claims. Their proceedings were expedited and they will hold arguments in a few weeks, taking place on January 9th. The start date for Trump’s federal trial in D.C. is scheduled to take place on March 4th, which is a day before the Super Tuesday primary contests.


“This trial is important because this is the first time in United States history that criminal charges against a former President have been charged due to their actions while in office,” Jack Smith stated in a Supreme Court filing. “And not just any actions, these were alleged acts for him to perpetuate himself into power by frustrating the constitutionally prescribed process for certifying the lawful winner of an election.” (washingtonpost.com)


This trial is likely bad news for Trump, as well as other Congressional Republicans. Regardless of the outcome of the trial, it can negatively affect the Republicans’ attempt to retake the White House, if Trump wins his trial, due to various conservative representatives and voters who disapprove of Trump’s previous antics in office. It can be safe to assume that a lot of American voters want a leader who has a clean track record with as little criminal history as possible and Trump winning the nomination could alienate a lot of voters and we could see the same traditionally Right-Wing voters vote for Joe Biden, once again, despite Biden’s 39% approval rating to close out his third year in office. 


The American people want to know that they are seen and heard, and while Trump is still pretty popular amongst a lot of Americans, the Republican Party might want to put more stock into another candidate, such as Ron DeSantis or Nikki Haley, who are much younger and could possibly appeal to young voters, if Republicans want to attract a new demographic.


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